Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.5% | 52.5% | +0.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +2 (61-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 4-17 | 1-5 | 2-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| A. DeForge | 35 | 8-13 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16 | - |
| P. Pierson | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Tuvic | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| K. Christensen | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| P. Taylor | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Wright | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Moore | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. McCray-Penson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Robinson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 29 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| T. Williams-Jeter | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| H. Darling | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Lovelace | 17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A. Jacobs | 16 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| V. Hayden-Johnson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Lassiter | 14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| T. Edwards | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Butts | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Abrosimova | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter