Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +2 (58-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 35 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Helen Darling * | 35 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tamika Raymond * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Teresa Edwards * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova | 19 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Stacey Lovelace | 14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Amanda Lassiter | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Amber Jacobs | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Vanessa Hayden | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie White * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 11-11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Deanna Jackson * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Niele Ivey | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter