Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +2 (73-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 39 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 11-13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 10 | - |
| A. DeForge | 37 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| P. Taylor | 30 | 7-11 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| P. Pierson | 29 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Moore | 17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Tuvic | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Robinson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| K. Christensen | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Wright | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Leslie | 37 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| M. Mabika | 32 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| N. Teasley | 32 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 32 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | - |
| L. Macchi | 20 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Thomas | 9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Weatherspoon | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Masciadri | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter