Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +2 (79-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Miller | 42 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 17 | - |
| N. Williams | 38 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 22 | - |
| T. Catchings | 37 | 6-17 | 4-7 | 8-10 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 18 | - |
| S. White | 34 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Jackson | 30 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Starbird | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Sales | 39 | 9-16 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - |
| K. Douglas | 38 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| L. Whalen | 38 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 37 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| W. Palmer | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Jones | 15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| J. Brungo | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Willingham | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Futrell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Black | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter