Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.3% | 47.7% | -0.5 | ✗ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +1 (61-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. DeForge | 38 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 34 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 9 | - |
| P. Taylor | 31 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| S. Tuvic | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| P. Pierson | 17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Moore | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Robinson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Wright | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 37 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 25 | - |
| S. White | 30 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Miller | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Williams | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Jackson | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 18 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Brown | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter