Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +7 (87-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrienne Goodson * | 39 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Shannon Johnson * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 6-9 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 12 | - |
| LaToya Thomas * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Agnieszka Bibrzycka | 31 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Gwen Jackson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Toccara Williams | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mandisa Stevenson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jessie Hicks | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mwadi Mabika * | 38 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 31 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Lisa Leslie * | 27 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Laura Macchi * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Christi Thomas | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Teresa Weatherspoon | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter