Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +5 (69-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 36 | 5-19 | 1-7 | 10-10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 35 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Deanna Jackson * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 22 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Niele Ivey | 17 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Stephanie White | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 11-16 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Chasity Melvin * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Tamicha Jackson * | 17 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Stacey Dales * | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Murriel Page | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Nakia Sanford | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Coco Miller | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Aiysha Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter