Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +26 (73-47). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vickie Johnson * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Elena Baranova * | 30 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ann Wauters * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 27 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | - |
| DeTrina White * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Shameka Christon | 24 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 13 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | - |
| Bethany Donaphin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 26 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 25 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| DeMya Walker * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Chantelle Anderson | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Lady Grooms | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ruthie Bolton | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter