Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +8 (58-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 39 | 4-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 38 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Sheila Lambert * | 36 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Kedra Holland-Corn * | 30 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tiffani Johnson * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Lucienne Berthieu | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Dominique Canty | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Felicia Ragland | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Ohlde * | 38 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Helen Darling * | 38 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tamika Raymond * | 36 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Teresa Edwards * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 33 | 8-20 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Tasha Butts | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stacey Lovelace | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Vanessa Hayden | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Amber Jacobs | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter