Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +4 (69-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Baranova * | 41 | 10-12 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 41 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Ann Wauters * | 37 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Vickie Johnson * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| DeTrina White * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shameka Christon | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Bethany Donaphin | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mwadi Mabika * | 39 | 9-21 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Lisa Leslie * | 38 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 32 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Laura Macchi * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon | 28 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Christi Thomas | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Teresa Weatherspoon | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Raffaella Masciadri | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter