Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.7% | 69.3% | +4.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +6 (63-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 7-19 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | - |
| P. Taylor | 34 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. DeForge | 31 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| T. Moore | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | - |
| L. Taylor | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Christensen | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Wright | 13 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Tuvic | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| N. McCray-Penson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Penicheiro | 36 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Y. Griffith | 31 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Walker | 29 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K. Lawson | 25 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Smith | 24 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| G. Mendiola | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Anderson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| L. Grooms | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Brunson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Bolton | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter