Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle Storm -5 (62-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Baranova * | 36 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Ann Wauters * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 32 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Vickie Johnson * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tari Phillips * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Shameka Christon | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 15 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| DeTrina White | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Jackson * | 36 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Betty Lennox * | 32 | 6-18 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | -3 | - |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Sheri Sam * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Adia Barnes | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Janell Burse | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter