Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +23 (69-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 34 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| T. Williams-Jeter | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| T. Butts | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Lovelace | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Edwards | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4 | - |
| H. Darling | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| A. Lassiter | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| V. Hayden-Johnson | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Jacobs | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| P. Taylor | 35 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| A. DeForge | 29 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| S. Tuvic | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| K. Christensen | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| P. Pierson | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Moore | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Williams-Strong | 10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Wright | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Robinson | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter