Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Charlotte | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte +5 (68-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Leslie * | 47 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 29 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 41 | 2-17 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -6 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 37 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 35 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Laura Macchi * | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon | 35 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Christi Thomas | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Doneeka Lewis | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Teresa Weatherspoon | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Feaster * | 44 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Dawn Staley * | 44 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 37 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Andrea Stinson * | 34 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Charlotte Smith * | 26 | 0-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Nicole Powell | 24 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Tynesha Lewis | 20 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Olympia Scott | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter