Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -5 (58-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Smith * | 40 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Allison Feaster * | 37 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Dawn Staley * | 34 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Andrea Stinson * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Tynesha Lewis | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Olympia Scott | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Nicole Powell | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| La'Keshia Frett | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 37 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 36 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Wendy Palmer * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Jennifer Derevjanik | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jessica Brungo | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Candace Futrell | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter