Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | +2.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -2 (74-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Teasley | 36 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 10 | - |
| L. Leslie | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 25 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 30 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Dixon | 29 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| M. Mabika | 28 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| L. Macchi | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| C. Thomas | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Masciadri | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Weatherspoon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 39 | 8-21 | 4-11 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 7 | - |
| T. Moore | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| P. Pierson | 29 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. DeForge | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A. Williams-Strong | 25 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| K. Christensen | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Wright | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. McCray-Penson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Tuvic | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter