Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | -1.8 | ✗ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +13 (63-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Griffith | 31 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| T. Smith | 27 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -4 | - |
| D. Walker | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Lawson | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3 | - |
| L. Grooms | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Brunson | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Bolton | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Mendiola | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 34 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 18 | - |
| K. Miller | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| N. Williams | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 21 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Jackson | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. White | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Brown | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter