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2004-06-12

Model Predictions

Model Houston Comets Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 74.1% 25.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 74.6% 25.4% - โœ“
Margin 70.7% 29.3% -4.8 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 69.4% 30.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 83.1% 16.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 83.2% 16.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 61.3% 38.7% - โœ“

Actual: Las Vegas Aces -3 (66-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Comets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sheryl Swoopes * 42 6-14 0-3 2-2 12 4 2 0 2 14 16 -
Tina Thompson * 37 7-14 0-2 1-1 4 1 1 2 2 15 7 -
Kedra Holland-Corn * 33 3-9 1-5 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 7 3 -
Sheila Lambert * 26 6-9 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 13 8 -
Michelle Snow * 25 2-8 0-0 2-2 1 2 1 2 3 6 1 -
Tiffani Johnson 25 4-5 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 10 11 -
Dominique Canty 24 1-3 0-0 2-4 4 1 2 0 1 4 7 -
Gordana Grubin 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Felicia Ragland 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marie Ferdinand-Harris * 34 7-15 1-2 5-6 7 2 2 0 5 20 11 -
LaToya Thomas * 33 5-12 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 1 0 10 6 -
Adrienne Goodson * 27 2-8 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
Jessie Hicks * 16 3-3 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
Shannon Johnson * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Toccara Williams 33 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 6 0 0 2 1 5 -
Gwen Jackson 20 3-5 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 0 2 9 10 -
Margo Dydek 19 1-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
Agnieszka Bibrzycka 15 0-6 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Semeka Randall 13 4-8 0-0 4-8 8 0 1 1 0 12 14 -
Mandisa Stevenson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter