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2004-06-12

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 40.8% 59.2% -
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% -
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% -

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -7 (76-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Sales 32 8-21 4-10 2-3 0 5 4 0 5 22 5 -
K. Douglas 32 7-10 4-5 3-4 7 4 3 1 2 21 24 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 29 5-7 0-0 0-0 11 4 1 0 1 10 18 -
A. Jones 26 5-9 0-0 1-1 7 1 2 1 3 11 10 -
J. Derevjanik 22 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 6 4 -
W. Palmer 21 2-5 1-2 2-2 5 1 0 1 2 7 7 -
D. Black 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
J. Brungo 11 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
C. Futrell 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Griffith 33 6-14 0-1 1-1 5 2 3 2 1 13 10 -
T. Smith 31 6-16 1-6 2-2 3 4 3 1 2 15 8 -
T. Penicheiro 27 2-3 2-3 0-0 4 9 1 0 3 6 14 -
H. Maiga-Ba 20 6-10 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 12 7 -
R. Bolton 20 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
K. Lawson 20 2-6 1-4 3-3 3 2 1 0 3 8 5 -
D. Walker 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 5 4 3 -
R. Brunson 14 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 3 6 1 -
L. Grooms 13 0-3 0-0 4-4 2 0 1 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter