Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +5 (68-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 30 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Wendy Palmer * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 21 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Debbie Black * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 24 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Candace Futrell | 19 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jennifer Derevjanik | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jessica Brungo | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Jackson * | 35 | 7-18 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Sheri Sam * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 34 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Betty Lennox * | 26 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Adia Barnes | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Janell Burse | 10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alicia Thompson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter