Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +14 (69-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 33 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Tamika Raymond * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Teresa Edwards * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Amanda Lassiter * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Tasha Butts | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Helen Darling | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Stacey Lovelace | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Vanessa Hayden | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Amber Jacobs | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Leslie * | 35 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Laura Macchi * | 18 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon | 18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Christi Thomas | 14 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Raffaella Masciadri | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Teresa Weatherspoon | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Doneeka Lewis | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter