Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Sales | 34 | 10-14 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | - |
| K. Douglas | 34 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| L. Whalen | 32 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -2 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| W. Palmer | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| A. Jones | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| L. Willingham | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Black | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Futrell | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| A. DeForge | 33 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| P. Taylor | 32 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| P. Pierson | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| N. McCray-Penson | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| T. Moore | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Christensen | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Wright | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Williams-Strong | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Tuvic | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter