Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.5% | 52.5% | +0.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. DeForge | 37 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 34 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 5-13 | 0-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| P. Pierson | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| N. McCray-Penson | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| T. Moore | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Tuvic | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Wright | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Christensen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Williams-Strong | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 38 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| T. Williams-Jeter | 34 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 24 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Edwards | 27 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Lassiter | 21 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T. Butts | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Lovelace | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| H. Darling | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Jacobs | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| V. Hayden-Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter