Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.1 | ✓ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +27 (72-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3 | - |
| A. DeForge | 32 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| A. Williams-Strong | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| P. Taylor | 20 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| N. McCray-Penson | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Wright | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Pierson | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Christensen | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Moore | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Tuvic | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Lennox | 32 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| S. Bird | 30 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| L. Jackson | 27 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| S. Sam | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| J. Burse | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - |
| A. Barnes | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Edwards | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Thompson | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Greco | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter