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Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 38.2% 61.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% - โœ“
Margin 48.7% 51.3% +0.6 โœ— (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 65.3% 34.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 59.8% 40.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 59.5% 40.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.6% 51.4% - โœ—

Actual: Las Vegas Aces -19 (60-79). Ratings: 2004 season-end ratings (they include this game).

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Kelly Miller * 36 5-11 2-3 2-2 4 6 1 0 2 14 12 -
Tamika Catchings * 35 8-16 2-6 2-2 9 5 1 3 1 20 21 -
Natalie Williams * 25 6-8 0-1 5-5 4 0 1 0 1 17 13 -
Deanna Jackson * 17 1-5 0-1 0-0 8 3 0 0 1 2 7 -
Ebony Hoffman * 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 0 3 -
Kristen Rasmussen 27 4-7 0-2 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 8 6 -
Coretta Brown 23 3-6 3-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 9 2 -
Kelly Schumacher 14 4-5 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 9 9 -
Kate Starbird 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Shannon Johnson * 35 3-10 0-2 4-4 6 8 2 0 3 10 13 -
LaToya Thomas * 33 6-14 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 14 -1 -
Adrienne Goodson * 31 3-5 1-2 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
Marie Ferdinand-Harris * 30 6-12 0-2 1-1 1 2 2 0 2 13 4 -
Jessie Hicks * 12 2-6 0-0 1-1 2 0 1 0 0 5 2 -
Margo Dydek 19 1-6 0-0 2-2 3 0 2 1 0 4 4 -
Gwen Jackson 12 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Semeka Randall 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
Agnieszka Bibrzycka 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Tai Dillard 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 0 1 -
Mandisa Stevenson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter