Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -7 (58-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 34 | 8-15 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Anna DeForge * | 32 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Nikki McCray * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Adrian Williams-Strong * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tamara Moore | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Shereka Wright | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kayte Christensen | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Slobodanka Tuvic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 33 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Wendy Palmer * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Debbie Black * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Candace Futrell | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jessica Brungo | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jennifer Derevjanik | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
* = starter