Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -7 (58-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 8-15 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 19 | - |
| P. Taylor | 32 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. DeForge | 32 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 24 | - |
| N. McCray-Penson | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| P. Pierson | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Moore | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Williams-Strong | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Christensen | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Wright | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Tuvic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 31 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| N. Sales | 30 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Douglas | 27 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| W. Palmer | 25 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| L. Whalen | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Black | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Futrell | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. Jones | 10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Brungo | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter