Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +25 (79-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tangela Smith * | 32 | 6-17 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| DeMya Walker * | 29 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Edna Campbell * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 32 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ruthie Bolton | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Lady Grooms | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| La'Keshia Frett | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Chantelle Anderson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikki Teasley * | 36 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 34 | 10-18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Lisa Leslie * | 25 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Lynn Pride | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jennifer Gillom | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Vanessa Nygaard | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Sophia Witherspoon | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Shaquala Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter