Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Houston Comets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Comets +21 (69-48). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yolanda Griffith * | 34 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| DeMya Walker * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 24 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Edna Campbell * | 24 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 24 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ruthie Bolton | 22 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lady Grooms | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chantelle Anderson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 32 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Janeth Arcain * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 28 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Ukari Figgs * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Tiffani Johnson | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Dominique Canty | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Mfon Udoka | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Kelley Gibson | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Octavia Blue | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter