Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +11 (80-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 40 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Tamika Raymond * | 40 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Teresa Edwards * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova * | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Janell Burse * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kristi Harrower | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Sheri Sam | 21 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Michele Van Gorp | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikki Teasley * | 40 | 4-14 | 0-9 | 4-6 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Lisa Leslie * | 37 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Shaquala Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Vanessa Nygaard | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jennifer Gillom | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sophia Witherspoon | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter