Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +6 (65-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 40 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 28 | - |
| Janeth Arcain * | 37 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 37 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Ukari Figgs * | 26 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dominique Canty | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kelley Gibson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tiffani Johnson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tangela Smith * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Edna Campbell * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| DeMya Walker * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 30 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Ruthie Bolton | 17 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Lady Grooms | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Chantelle Anderson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter