Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +3 (68-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawn Staley * | 33 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Shalonda Enis * | 30 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Andrea Stinson * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Allison Feaster * | 27 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Rushia Brown | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tynesha Lewis | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Miller | 12 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Teana Miller | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Charlotte Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Marla Brumfield | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 32 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 27 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Shannon Johnson * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Brooke Wyckoff * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Adrienne Johnson | 22 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Wendy Palmer | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Debbie Black | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jessie Hicks | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter