Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +3 (67-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 40 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 40 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Janeth Arcain * | 35 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ukari Figgs * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Tiffani Johnson | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Dominique Canty | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kelley Gibson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 40 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Lisa Leslie * | 40 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 33 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 26 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Shaquala Williams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Vanessa Nygaard | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jennifer Gillom | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lynn Pride | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter