Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +23 (88-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svetlana Abrosimova * | 24 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Tamika Raymond * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 20 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Janell Burse * | 16 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Teresa Edwards * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Kristi Harrower | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Adams | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Sheri Sam | 21 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Shaunzinski Gortman | 16 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Michele Van Gorp | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Georgia Schweitzer | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 36 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 9-10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 31 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 24 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Lisa Leslie * | 21 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Vanessa Nygaard | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jennifer Gillom | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Shaquala Williams | 7 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Sophia Witherspoon | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter