Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Charlotte | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte +30 (80-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Williams * | 39 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 32 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Nikki McCray * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Niele Ivey * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Stephanie White | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Bridget Pettis | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Coretta Brown | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Coquese Washington | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Feaster * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Andrea Stinson * | 32 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Dawn Staley * | 29 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Shalonda Enis * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Rushia Brown | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Charlotte Smith | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Teana Miller | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Kelly Miller | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tynesha Lewis | 10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Marla Brumfield | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter