Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +6 (69-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Feaster * | 31 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Dawn Staley * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Andrea Stinson * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Shalonda Enis * | 23 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Teana Miller * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown | 20 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kelly Miller | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Charlotte Smith | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tynesha Lewis | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Rushia Brown | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Marla Brumfield | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 40 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 36 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Niele Ivey * | 29 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Nikki McCray * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Stephanie White | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Bridget Pettis | 13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Coquese Washington | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter