Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Houston Comets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Comets -1 (63-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 40 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 39 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 37 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Lisa Leslie * | 35 | 4-16 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Vanessa Nygaard | 8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jennifer Gillom | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sophia Witherspoon | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Thompson * | 40 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Janeth Arcain * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 35 | 4-13 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ukari Figgs * | 28 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Dominique Canty | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tiffani Johnson | 6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mfon Udoka | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter