Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | โ |
| Margin | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | โ |
| Pythagorean | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | โ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +17 (69-52). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamecka Dixon * | 35 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 32 | 4-15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | - |
| Jennifer Gillom * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 25 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Vanessa Nygaard * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Shaquala Williams | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sophia Witherspoon | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Lynn Pride | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Rhonda Mapp | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Chandra Johnson | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jennifer Azzi * | 32 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Adrienne Goodson * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Gwen Jackson * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Sylvia Crawley | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Tausha Mills | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tai Dillard | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| LaQuanda Quick | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| LaTonya Johnson | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Semeka Randall | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter