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Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 57.2% 42.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 77.8% 22.2% - โœ—
Margin 57.6% 42.4% - โœ—
Pythagorean 69.8% 30.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 81.1% 18.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 81.2% 18.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 57.3% 42.7% - โœ—

Actual: Las Vegas Aces +17 (69-52). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Tamecka Dixon * 35 5-8 1-3 4-4 5 2 1 0 4 15 11 -
Mwadi Mabika * 32 4-15 0-4 0-0 3 0 2 2 4 8 -4 -
Jennifer Gillom * 27 4-9 0-3 4-4 4 0 0 0 0 12 7 -
Nikki Teasley * 25 0-7 0-3 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Vanessa Nygaard * 20 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
Nicky McCrimmon 16 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 3 0 1 4 6 -
Shaquala Williams 10 0-1 0-1 2-4 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
Sophia Witherspoon 10 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -
Lynn Pride 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
Rhonda Mapp 6 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
Chandra Johnson 5 1-2 1-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Marie Ferdinand-Harris * 35 3-9 0-3 7-8 7 4 0 0 3 13 12 -
Jennifer Azzi * 32 3-5 3-4 0-0 2 5 1 0 1 9 11 -
Adrienne Goodson * 29 7-13 0-0 1-2 9 1 1 1 5 15 9 -
Gwen Jackson * 27 3-8 0-0 3-4 6 1 2 1 1 9 10 -
Margo Dydek * 25 2-6 0-0 1-2 6 4 3 1 1 5 12 -
Sylvia Crawley 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 4 7 -
Tausha Mills 10 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
Tai Dillard 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 1 2 4 2 -
LaQuanda Quick 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 3 2 -
LaTonya Johnson 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Semeka Randall 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter