Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -9 (56-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Robinson * | 37 | 7-16 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Vickie Johnson * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Tari Phillips * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Teresa Weatherspoon * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore * | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Elena Baranova | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Linda Frohlich | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 37 | 4-17 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Coco Miller * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Murriel Page * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Stacey Dales * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Annie Burgess * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 21 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Aiysha Smith | 16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Helen Luz | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jocelyn Penn | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter