Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -4 (73-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 39 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 12-14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Teresa Edwards * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Tamika Raymond * | 30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Janell Burse * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Sheri Sam | 30 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Kristi Harrower | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Michele Van Gorp | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Adams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 31 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 27 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| DeMya Walker * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Edna Campbell * | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 29 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Ruthie Bolton | 14 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Lady Grooms | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Chantelle Anderson | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| La'Keshia Frett | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter