Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +3 (68-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Raymond * | 38 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 35 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Janell Burse * | 30 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Sheri Sam * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Teresa Edwards * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kristi Harrower | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Michele Van Gorp | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Jackson * | 36 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Amanda Lassiter * | 28 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Sandy Brondello * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Rita Williams | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Alisa Burras | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Tonya Massaline | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Simone Edwards | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter