Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -13 (55-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 40 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Ukari Figgs * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Janeth Arcain * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tiffani Johnson | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Dominique Canty | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kelley Gibson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mfon Udoka | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Octavia Blue | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 40 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Nikki McCray * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Coquese Washington * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Niele Ivey | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Coretta Brown | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bridget Pettis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter