Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +11 (92-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swin Cash * | 36 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Ruth Riley * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Elaine Powell * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Cheryl Ford * | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Deanna Nolan * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kedra Holland-Corn | 33 | 8-13 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Barbara Farris | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sheila Lambert | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ayana Walker | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Astou Ndiaye-Diatta | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Stacey Thomas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 38 | 10-20 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Stacey Dales * | 32 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 30 | 6-15 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Murriel Page * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Annie Burgess * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Aiysha Smith | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Helen Luz | 19 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jocelyn Penn | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter