Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +36 (92-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikki Teasley * | 38 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 33 | 4-16 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Rhonda Mapp * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Vanessa Nygaard * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 22 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jenny Mowe | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jennifer Gillom | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Shaquala Williams | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sophia Witherspoon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Jackson * | 32 | 17-23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 29 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Amanda Lassiter * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Sandy Brondello * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rita Williams | 19 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Simone Edwards | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Alisa Burras | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tonya Massaline | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Sun Min Jung | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter