Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +2 (73-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Jackson * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 32 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Sandy Brondello * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Amanda Lassiter * | 30 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 27 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Simone Edwards | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tonya Massaline | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Rita Williams | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 36 | 6-18 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Janell Burse * | 33 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Tamika Raymond * | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Teresa Edwards * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Sheri Sam * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova | 20 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kristi Harrower | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Michele Van Gorp | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Shaunzinski Gortman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Georgia Schweitzer | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter