Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -11 (73-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Feaster * | 37 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 9-10 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Andrea Stinson * | 37 | 10-17 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Dawn Staley * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Rushia Brown * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charlotte Smith | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Kelly Miller | 7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Tynesha Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamecka Dixon * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 33 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 32 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 30 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Jennifer Gillom * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Vanessa Nygaard | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shaquala Williams | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Rhonda Mapp | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sophia Witherspoon | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter