Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Houston Comets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Comets +9 (64-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris * | 37 | 2-13 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jennifer Azzi * | 33 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Adrienne Goodson * | 32 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Gwen Jackson * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Sylvia Crawley | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tausha Mills | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tai Dillard | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| LaQuanda Quick | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Semeka Randall | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| LaTonya Johnson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Snow * | 34 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - |
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 33 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Janeth Arcain * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 30 | 4-16 | 0-5 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Ukari Figgs * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tiffani Johnson | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kelley Gibson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dominique Canty | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Octavia Blue | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mfon Udoka | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter