Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +14 (72-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristen Rasmussen * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Nikki McCray * | 33 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 31 | 6-18 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Coquese Washington * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Sonja Henning | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Coretta Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bridget Pettis | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Leigh Aziz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swin Cash * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Deanna Nolan * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Elaine Powell * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Cheryl Ford * | 23 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ruth Riley * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Barbara Farris | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kedra Holland-Corn | 21 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Astou Ndiaye-Diatta | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Stacey Thomas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ayana Walker | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Sheila Lambert | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter