Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -3 (45-48). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 33 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Stacey Dales * | 30 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Coco Miller * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Murriel Page * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Annie Burgess * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 26 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jocelyn Penn | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aiysha Smith | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Shannon Johnson * | 35 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 32 | 2-16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Brooke Wyckoff * | 29 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 27 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Adrienne Johnson | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Wendy Palmer | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rebecca Lobo | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Debbie Black | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jessie Hicks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Courtney Coleman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter