Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +10 (63-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 36 | 6-20 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 36 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 4-8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Janeth Arcain * | 33 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Ukari Figgs * | 33 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Dominique Canty | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tiffani Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kelley Gibson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mfon Udoka | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Octavia Blue | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Jennifer Azzi * | 35 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Adrienne Goodson * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Gwen Jackson * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sylvia Crawley | 20 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tausha Mills | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| LaQuanda Quick | 5 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| LaTonya Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Semeka Randall | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tai Dillard | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter